With a rare QLD leader of the ALP, I wasnt thinking 2013 was a high water mark for LNP in QLD, but it was in NSW. It was around this point in the broadcast in which the mood in the Labor camp swung from elation and confidence, to shock and disappointment. I predict Coalition to win 74-78 seats. Coordinates: .mw-parser-output .geo-default,.mw-parser-output .geo-dms,.mw-parser-output .geo-dec{display:inline}.mw-parser-output .geo-nondefault,.mw-parser-output .geo-multi-punct{display:none}.mw-parser-output .longitude,.mw-parser-output .latitude{white-space:nowrap}273632S 1525559E / 27.609S 152.933E / -27.609; 152.933, This article is about the current federal electorate. Labor doesnt have a huge majority but there are some Queensland seats up for grabs in 2025. If Labor want to turn their fortunes around, they may do well to parachute someone with leadership potential into this seat (someone much more compelling than Chalmers). Re-elected 2019 and 2022. Ipswich mayor Teresa Jane Harding and former LNP candidate for Blair has rejected approaches from the LNP to stand here. cheers WD, Ben Election results in Blair at the 2019 federal election Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor, the Liberal National Party and One Nation. Join us for an opportunity to get to know the candidates for the 2022 Federal Election for our Blair and Oxley electorates. 87.87% counted. The rural areas of Blair tend to the LNP due to the LNP understanding and respecting the farmers, graziers and the like are competent in looking and working their properties in a sustainable, environmental and economical way. Elected history-making governors. Hayden was elected Leader of the Opposition after Gough Whitlams resignation after the 1977 election, and led the party to an improved position in 1980. Ls. What are your views on NSW despite not living here? I think some of you might recall on ABCs Election night coverage in 2019, Antony Greens surprise when early votes came through from Blair which suggested that a swing was in play that would lose Neumann his safe seat. The Most Interesting Articles, Mysteries and Discoveries. However before any of your suggestion can happen. In mid 2017, the state electoral boundaries were redrawn to accommodate Queensland's growing and shifting population. The division is named after the Australian explorer, John Oxley. An official website of the United States government. Click here for a list only including challengers to incumbents. This dent could have been a write-off if Job Keeper was not introduced. Blair is an old style ALP seat with some rural areas. Surely?. As the great sage Richo says Never hang onto a mug. This is a rural-urban hybrid seat, on the outer suburban fringes. https://amp.theguardian.com/environment/2021/dec/31/carbon-bomb-queensland-reveals-big-jump-in-land-clearing, NSW 2023 where preferences have flowed over time, Podcast #86: Introduction to the NSW election, When local council parties break into state politics, NSW 2023 rising preference flows deciding the upper house. Firstly of course no community and no ethnic group is a monolith, theres a huge variety of views. There are certain posters who very obviously just project their own personal biases onto entire electorates and/or do nothing but constant, thinly veiled advocacy as analysis, but given that Labors entire strategy seems to hinge on electoral Bradburyism, I dont see an easy path to victory. I NEVER GO OF HALF-COCKED, IF I GO OFF, IT IS ALL THE WAY! The Valkyrie did chuckle as she agreed Well yes! I think Oxley is a stretch, a lot of genuine battlers in this division, quite similar to Rankin in demographics and likely one of the last to leave Labors hands. Remember QLD polled 50-50 before the last election? Speaker of the House of Representatives from 26.7.2022. Like Ryan, this is an almost three way contest where LNP are strong but Greens are increasingly viable. Leader of the Opposition, Brisbane City Council from 2012 to 2016. I have said for weeks I think Qld will be status quo (except maybe Brisbane.) The LNP have very very very little organisational support, money and volunteers in the region while Labor have an entrenched network of branches and support across all of Ipswich and Springfield. @ Ben, tell me what seats in Qld the Coalition will be picking up? The FEC will update its map to reflect the new congressional districts and boundaries once information has been made available from each state. Officeholders. Peter Duttons appeal in Queensland is overrated. The current division is the second to bear the name, and was created in 1949. 2. Queensland residents must home-quarantine for 14 days and can leave for only a limited number of essential reasons (such as seeking medical assistance or escaping harm).. Queensland has 30 seats and is a large reason that Labor only just got over the line to majority government by their poor performance there. Senator for Queensland. The Coalition went to the 2019 election under a third Premier, Gladys Berejiklian, who survived a 2.3% swing to secure a narrow majority with 48 seats, losing two seats to Labor and four to the cross-bench. The Pandemic. Those that entered retirement and were now well off, were generally no longer animated by issues of job-security or industrial relations, but instead became fixated on their retirement, investment portfolio and inheritance. Close to 100 seats for LNP Daniel youre kidding yourself or dreaming. Greens movement Toggle. Hanson's brief tenure represents the only time since 1961 that the seat has been out of Labor hands. State/Territory MPs. Im not even a member of any political party but traditionally I want Labor to win just not under its current direction and leader. Your correct. I suggest Cook since its the most boring seat. Even then, Id be surprised to see the Libs not shift into gear (in Blair at least) as election day nears. The names are broken out by state, chamber and party . Could it be that farmers are overusing the water that is available? The Nationals could have just as easily aligned themselves originally with the Labor party, probably what swayed them is a socially conservative outlook. 2022 Federal Election Candidates Forum - Oxley Election Platform 2022. The seat was first won in 1949 by Liberal candidate Donald Cameron. I live in the Blair electorate and have never heard of him. Comparing the validity of O.S. I am not a party hack please dont use that label please, I am interested in politics as much as you are, as much as everyone here is, We are entitled to have our own opinions without attacking one another and thats how it should be. Delegate to the Australian Labor Party National Conference from 2001. Some observers might find this is similar to Sydneys swinging Western and South Western fringes, with residents who couldnt quite afford to live in Sydneys East and Inner West. Population Growth. J Hogg from 1998 to 2000. President of Federal Young Labor. Recent polling indicates that a Teal candidate in Oxley will start the campaign only slightly behind the newly announced National candidate. Strengthen Medicare by making it easier to see the doctor. Our People Toggle. High Street While Queensland fared exceedingly well throughout the pandemic and managed to keep the majority of its workforce running by keeping the virus out of the state, it still made a dent in the economy (albeit, it could have been a lot worse with a stricken community, rolling shutdowns and overwhelmed health system). Assessment Blair is a very marginal seat but the current margin is a low point for Labor since the major redistribution redrew the seat in 2006. Leave Winediamond out of it we have the same local polling booth and he thinks Zimmerman is a waste of space so thats good enough for me. Come along and support our LNP Candidate for Oxley as we launch the Oxley campaign. @John, howd you figure that? Found this interesting; repealing Sarbanes-Oxley, SOX, is on the official party platform for TX Republicans . On February 19, 2018, Pennsylvania's Supreme Court released a new congressional map for Pennsylvania. . Crime scene visits by juries Strewth has been reliably informed the two are no longer on talking terms but told the ice may thaw by Christmas, since borders and lockdowns are likely to still be in place, and neither can escape the family dinner table. The figures below show the number of voters on the certified list for the 2022 federal election. Oxley is located in south east Queensland, and covers the south western suburbs of Brisbane . Federal Election Commission | United States of America, Learn how to enable Javascript in your browser. Across the country voting patterns confirm that people want their MP to represent the community rather than the big parties. @LNP Insider interesting that you flag Oxley as a location where LNP might have genuine intent in competing. Each candidate will give a short overview of their plans along with taking questions from the audience. The latest 2022 Australian Federal Election results, live tracker, news headlines, updates and analysis from The Sydney Morning Herald . Password must be a minimum of 8 characters and contain at least one upper case letter, one lower case letter, one number, and one special character(@$!%*?&). If they would go & never return, then id be interested !. He joined Gough Whitlams ministry in 1972, and served as Treasurer for the final five months of the Whitlam government in 1975. All Rights Reserved. 1. AUSTRALIA: AGE DISTRIBUTION . Victoria has already overachieved for Labor and Sturt really is only the other seat left in South Australia that is within reach. Create secure local jobs by investing in Fee-Free TAFE and more university places, and make your job more secure with better pay and conditions. He is the brother of Queensland Treasurer and Minister for Trade and Investment, Cameron Dick. In 1998 part of Ipswich was moved into the new seat of Blair, followed by the rest of the city at subsequent redistributions, while Oxley is now based in Brisbane's south-west suburbs. Former government services minister Stuart Robert is being questioned at theRobodebt inquiry, Keep up with the latest ASX and business news. The two main industries that Ipswich was traditionally centered around was energy (think coal power-stations powering SE QLD), and transport, specifically rail (which transported coal among other things). Candidates are listed using @Political Nightwatchman The results of the election show that Labor can afford to give up in Queensland. Geography Ever since, the micro-parties particularly One Nation, have found a home in the outer suburban fringes of Brisbane. This seat is a strong area for One Nation, with a vote ranging from 14.6% in northern and eastern Ipswich to 22.3% in rural Ipswich. Are just political grandstanders, with a whole lot of bark, but no idea on how to run a government. Huge difference, at least those leaders actually inspired people. from 2000 to 2004. Electorates by alphabetical list . It is worth noting that areas in South Australia with similar vaccination rates was where One Nation did surprisingly well. Now it's our turn in Oxley. Neumann did end up weathering the storm but it put this seat on notice. At theRobodebt inquiry, Keep up with the latest ASX and business news candidate Donald Cameron on February 19 2018! Will be picking up Election for our Blair and Oxley electorates Minister Stuart Robert is being questioned at theRobodebt,. And former LNP candidate for Blair has rejected approaches from the LNP to stand here will give a overview. And shifting population, and was created in 1949 i live in Blair! Keeper was not introduced won in 1949 by Liberal candidate Donald Cameron list! 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